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BITCOIN BREAKDOWN
It has been an interesting week for BTC with its price seeing a short-term bullish push towards $21,969. From a technical point of view, this is a set up to trick bulls into jumping on the back of an event. With a possible break to the upside above $21,969 or even $22,000, Bitcoin bulls will jump in on the break and risk being dragged below their entry point. As this event is completely headline-driven, any word or phrase could trigger a market reaction in a matter of seconds and could see BTC price dropping like a stone towards $19,036 in its best case, or could even slip as far as $16,020, bearing 26% of losses in just a matter of minutes.
Users need to bear in mind that the key event to be on the lookout for is the Jackson Hole Symposium from the Fed, a must-watch event for traders of any asset class in the financial markets, even cryptocurrency traders!
US OIL BREAKDOWN
A loss in momentum brought exhaustion in the upside movement, it is also noted that the divergence in asset price and momentum oscillator has accelerated the odds of a bearish reversal.
Analysis also show that the Intermediate (WTI), futures on NYMEX, has displayed a short-lived pullback after printing a three-day low of $92.16 in the Asian session. The sheer upside rally from the past week has met exhaustion and is undergoing a correction mode. However on an hourly scale, the asset consecutively formed higher highs but with a decline in buying interest.
Should the asset drop below the round-level support at $92.00, bears will strengthen further and drag the asset towards the August 22 high of $90.98, followed by the August 17 high of $88.65. Alternatively, bulls could regain control if the asset oversteps the August 24 high of $95.10. An occurrence of the same will send the asset towards July 26 high of $98.4 and the psychological resistance at $100.00.
BRITISH POUND BREAKDOWN
As per today’s analysis, intraday traders can look for longs above $1.18017 with targets near $1.18256 and $1.18472. Alternatively, they can look for shorts below $1.17905 after retesting only with targets near $1.17639 and $1.17385.
This week GBP/USD has been under some pressure that has led to movement back to a flat position for the day as the US dollar perks up in Tokyo ahead of the Federal Reserve’s chairman Jerome Powell speaking at the Jackson Hole later today. Analysis also shows that the US dollar has gained against a basket of currencies on Friday, but trades below the 20-year high. Chairman Powell’s speech will definitely give insights to investors to be on the lookout for fresh clues on how aggressive the central bank will be in its battle against inflation.
Crypto products are unregulated and could be highly volatile. Please be aware of the risks before investing.
DIFX shall not be responsible for any loss arising from any investment based on any recommendation, forecast or other information herein contained. The contents of this publication should not be construed as an express or implied promise, guarantee, or implication by DIFX that the forecast information will eventuate, that clients will profit from the strategies herein or that losses in connection therewith can or will be limited. Trades in accordance with the recommendations in an analysis, especially leveraged investments such as foreign exchange trading and investment in derivatives, can be very speculative and may result in losses in particular if the conditions or assumptions used for the forecast or mentioned in the analysis do not eventuate as anticipated and the forecast is not realized.
